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💡Hypothesis H10016 In normal trading everyone would short USDT (asymmetric up/down changes, huge leverage because only tiny upside price change possible, Tether known to be lying, etc), but in crypto it's not possible because you cannot trust the other party to actually honor the short-selling contract (counter

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💡Hypothesis H10013 BTC holders will try to sell for USDC or fiat and (1) for retail investors, exchanges will stop redemptions/withdrawals, and (2) for "partners" they will not honor their IOU agreements.

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💡Hypothesis H10030 Crypto, stock (share) and ETF prices should theoretically be linked. Same traders trade these. Strangely, there are massive discrepancies between these instruments. This creates arbitrage threats for uneducated traders - but those can quite easily be tackled, and turned into ones advantage Trading hypothesis What traders get wrong

💡Hypothesis H10001 Traders (due to deliberate misleading naming by Tether?) assume that 1 USD (1 US Dollar) is equal to 1 USDT (1 Tether). This is a fundamentally incorrect assumption. If for example 1 BTC is quoted as 90,000 USDT, it is not even closely equal to 1 BTC